Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Lecce |
33.79% ( 0.11) | 27.66% ( 0) | 38.55% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 48.63% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.87% ( 0) | 57.13% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22% ( 0) | 78% ( -0) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.27% ( 0.07) | 31.73% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.85% ( 0.09) | 68.15% ( -0.09) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.24% ( -0.06) | 28.77% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.39% ( -0.08) | 64.61% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.78% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.13% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 38.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
15 | Genoa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 9 |
16 | Como | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |