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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Empoli logo

Genoa
1 - 1
Empoli

Malinovskyi (37')
Malinovskyi (56'), Vogliacco (86'), Badelj (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frosinone 2-1 Genoa
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 3-4 Sassuolo
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Genoa 1-0 Empoli

Saturday's game may be low-scoring, and Genoa could secure their third straight 1-0 victory on home turf at Empoli's expense. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawEmpoli
56.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 23.96% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 20.01% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.84% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.42% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)51.58% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.63% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)73.37% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74% (0.0020000000000095 0)18.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (0.0039999999999978 0)49.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.74% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)40.26% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.11% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)76.89% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 56.02%
    Empoli 20.01%
    Draw 23.95%
GenoaDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 12.49%
2-0 @ 10.62%
2-1 @ 9.67%
3-0 @ 6.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.48%
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 56.02%
1-1 @ 11.37%
0-0 @ 7.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.95%
0-1 @ 6.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 20.01%

How you voted: Genoa vs Empoli

Genoa
78.6%
Draw
7.1%
Empoli
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 28
Genoa
0-0
Empoli
Blessin (34'), Sturaro (41'), Yeboah (45+1'), Portanova (49'), Rovella (86')
Verre (37'), Luperto (43'), Bandinelli (70')
Nov 5, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Empoli
2-2
Genoa
Di Francesco (62'), Zurkowski (72')
Criscito (13' pen.), Bianchi (89')
Rovella (27'), Sturaro (64'), Masiello (74'), Vasquez (83')
Jan 28, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
Empoli
1-3
Genoa
Di Lorenzo (63')
Rasmussen (61')
Kouame (18'), Lazovic (70'), Sanabria (73')
Bessa (39'), Rolon (58')
Aug 26, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Genoa
2-1
Empoli
Piatek (6'), Kouame (18')
Spolli (45'), Criscito (52'), Zukanovic (59')
Mraz (90')
Silvestre (85'), Krunic (90')
Mar 5, 2017 2pm
Empoli
0-2
Genoa

Bellusci (36'), Maccarone (63'), Diousse (79')
Ntcham (89'), Hiljemark (90')
Rigoni (18'), Pinilla (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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