Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 14

Dec 2, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 1
Empoli

Malinovskyi (37')
Malinovskyi (56'), Vogliacco (86'), Badelj (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cancellieri (67')
Ranocchia (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Frosinone 2-1 Genoa
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Empoli 3-4 Sassuolo
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Genoa 1-0 Empoli

Saturday's game may be low-scoring, and Genoa could secure their third straight 1-0 victory on home turf at Empoli's expense. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Empoli
56.03% ( 0.02)	23.96% ( -0)	20.01% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 48.84% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.42% (

-0.01)

51.58% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.63% (

-0.01)

73.37% (

0.01)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.74% (

18.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.7% (

49.3% (

-0)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.74% (

-0.02)

40.26% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.11% (

-0.01)

76.89% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Genoa 56.02%

Empoli 20.01%

Draw 23.95%

Genoa	Draw	Empoli
1-0 @ 12.49% 2-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 6.03% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.48% 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.28% Total : 56.02%	1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.95%	0-1 @ 6.69% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.28% Total : 20.01%