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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 23, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Dacia Arena
Lecce logo

Udinese
1 - 1
Lecce

Thauvin (49' pen.)
Kabasele (5'), Thauvin (77'), Ebosele (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Piccoli (83')
Ramadani (34'), Baschirotto (72'), Pongracic (72'), Dorgu (75'), Gendrey (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 0-0 Udinese
Friday, October 6 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Sassuolo
Friday, October 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 1-1 Lecce

Lecce took four points off Udinese last season despite finishing 10 points behind them in the final standings, and another draw between the sides here at the Dacia Arena looks likely. All five of Udinese's points so far have come via draws, and while arguably stronger on paper, lingering injuries mean the hosts are likely to stay near the bottom for the time being. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
UdineseDrawLecce
43.88% (-0.828 -0.83) 27.9% (0.034000000000002 0.03) 28.22% (0.8 0.8)
Both teams to score 45.92% (0.384 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.43% (0.252 0.25)59.57% (-0.247 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.09% (0.19 0.19)79.91% (-0.187 -0.19)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02% (-0.31100000000001 -0.31)26.98% (0.315 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.67% (-0.411 -0.41)62.33% (0.416 0.42)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.89% (0.794 0.79)37.11% (-0.789 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.1% (0.778 0.78)73.9% (-0.77200000000001 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 43.88%
    Lecce 28.22%
    Draw 27.89%
UdineseDrawLecce
1-0 @ 13.11% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-0 @ 8.59% (-0.236 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 43.88%
1-1 @ 13% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.01% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 9.93% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.45% (0.158 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.163 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.096 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.088 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 28.22%

How you voted: Udinese vs Lecce

Udinese
39.6%
Draw
28.1%
Lecce
32.3%
96
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Lecce
1-0
Udinese
Espeto (62' pen.)
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Udinese
1-1
Lecce
Beto (68')
Colombo (33')
Jul 29, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 37
Udinese
1-2
Lecce
Samir (36')
Sema (86')
Mancosu (40' pen.), Lapadula (81')
Paz (22'), Calderoni (45+1'), Lapadula (82'), Donati (90+3')
Jan 6, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 18
Lecce
0-1
Udinese

Liverani (78'), Gabriel (89')
De Paul (88')
De Paul (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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