Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Udinese | Draw | Lecce |
43.88% ( -0.83) | 27.9% ( 0.03) | 28.22% ( 0.8) |
Both teams to score 45.92% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.43% ( 0.25) | 59.57% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.09% ( 0.19) | 79.91% ( -0.19) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.02% ( -0.31) | 26.98% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.67% ( -0.41) | 62.33% ( 0.42) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.89% ( 0.79) | 37.11% ( -0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.1% ( 0.78) | 73.9% ( -0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Udinese | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 13.11% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.9% Total : 43.88% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.78% Total : 28.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 12 |
2 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
3 | Torino | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
4 | Inter Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
5 | Udinese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
6 | Napoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
7 | Empoli | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Lazio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
9 | Roma | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
10 | Como | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
11 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 |
12 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
13 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
16 | Lecce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
19 | Monza | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
20 | CagliariCagliari | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 2 |
> Serie A Full Table |