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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lecce logo

Roma
2 - 1
Lecce

Azmoun (90+1'), Lukaku (90+4')
Sanches (76'), Llorente (89'), Lukaku (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Almqvist (72')
Banda (17'), Dorgu (27'), Ramadani (77'), Touba (81'), Espeto (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Roma
Sunday, October 29 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-4 Parma
Wednesday, November 1 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Roma 1-0 Lecce

Since being shocked by Genoa in September, Roma have seen off several opponents of relatively modest stature, only having their limitations exposed by Scudetto favourites Inter last time out. As Lecce's early spurt of form has waned, they are also unlikely to record just a second Serie A win over their fellow Giallorossi on Rome soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 12.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.09%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawLecce
64.6% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 22.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 12.91% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Both teams to score 39.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.09% (-0.012 -0.01)56.91% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.17% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)77.82% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.88% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)17.12% (0.0089999999999968 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.66% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)47.33% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.13% (0.00099999999999767 0)52.87% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.43%86.56%
Score Analysis
    Roma 64.59%
    Lecce 12.91%
    Draw 22.48%
RomaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 15.97%
2-0 @ 14.09%
2-1 @ 8.99%
3-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 3.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.69%
5-0 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 64.59%
1-1 @ 10.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.05% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 2.86%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.48%
0-1 @ 5.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 3.24%
0-2 @ 1.84% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 12.91%

How you voted: Roma vs Lecce

Roma
86.7%
Draw
10.0%
Lecce
3.3%
60
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 22
Lecce
1-1
Roma
Ibanez (7' og.)
Dybala (17' pen.)
Oct 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Roma
2-1
Lecce
Smalling (6'), Dybala (48' pen.)
Espeto (39')
Jan 20, 2022 8pm
Final
Roma
3-1
Lecce
Kumbulla (40'), Abraham (54'), Shomurodov (81')
Afena-Gyan (38'), Ibanez (71'), Abraham (76')
Calabresi (14')
Listkowski (12'), Johann Helgason (44'), Di Mariano (45+1'), Gargiulo (60')
Gargiulo (62')
Feb 23, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 25
Roma
4-0
Lecce
Under (13'), Mkhitaryan (37'), Dzeko (69'), Kolarov (80')
Mancini (49')
Sep 29, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 6
Lecce
0-1
Roma

Lucioni (79'), Rispoli (84')
Dzeko (56')
Pellegrini (19'), Mkhitaryan (25'), Smalling (49'), Cristante (96')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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