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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 11, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Milan logo

Lecce
2 - 2
AC Milan

Sansone (66'), Banda (70')
Ramadani (45'), Espeto (62'), Piccoli (85'), Gonzalez (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Giroud (28'), Reijnders (35')
Hernandez (44'), Musah (80'), Calabria (80'), Florenzi (90'), Giroud (90+3'), Krunic (90+5')
Giroud (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 2-1 Lecce
Sunday, November 5 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 2-1 PSG
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Lecce 1-2 AC Milan

Lecce's downward spiral could continue this weekend, as Milan are on a high from their Champions League heroics and have a point to prove in Serie A. While the hosts are far harder to beat on home soil, they rarely score more than once and will also be vulnerable to the Rossoneri's varied attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawAC Milan
33.66% (-0.29 -0.29) 27.07% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 39.27% (0.307 0.31)
Both teams to score 50.42% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.13% (0.024000000000001 0.02)54.87% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.84% (0.02 0.02)76.16% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.33% (-0.176 -0.18)30.67% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.08% (-0.21 -0.21)66.92% (0.208 0.21)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.73% (0.184 0.18)27.27% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.29% (0.239 0.24)62.71% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 33.66%
    AC Milan 39.27%
    Draw 27.06%
LecceDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.058000000000002 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.84% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.99% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 33.66%
1-1 @ 12.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 10.87% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.06% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.61% (0.035 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.06% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 39.27%

How you voted: Lecce vs AC Milan

Lecce
3.7%
Draw
16.7%
AC Milan
79.6%
54
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 31
AC Milan
2-0
Lecce
Leao (40', 74')
Jan 14, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 18
Lecce
2-2
AC Milan
Hernandez (3' og.), Baschirotto (23')
Leao (58'), Calabria (70')
Jun 22, 2020 6.30pm
Oct 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
AC Milan
2-2
Lecce
Calhanoglu (20'), Piatek (81')
Biglia (85')
Babacar (62'), Calderoni (92')
Majer (44'), Rossettini (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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