Fiorentina1 - 0Lecce
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, February 23 at 2pm in Serie A
for
Friday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
for
We said: Fiorentina 2-0 Lecce
Although Fiorentina have recorded only eight more shots than Lecce in Serie A this season, the Viola have a good conversion rate of 13.2% - the third-highest throughout Italy's top flight - and their visitors (5.9%) have the worst. The Salentini rarely travel well either, so the hosts should prevail and put a stop to their slump. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 19.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fiorentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Lecce |
56.99% ( 0.74) | 23.92% ( -0.14) | 19.09% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 47.52% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.42% ( -0.19) | 52.58% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.77% ( -0.16) | 74.23% ( 0.16) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% ( 0.21) | 18.27% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.67% ( 0.35) | 49.33% ( -0.35) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.14% ( -0.77) | 41.86% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.69% ( -0.68) | 78.31% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Lecce |
| 1-0 @ 12.99% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.22)2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.34% Total : 56.98% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.92% | 0-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.95% Total : 19.09% |
