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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Feb 6, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Inter logo

Fiorentina
3 - 0
Inter Milan

Ranieri (59'), Kean (68', 89')
Kean (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Pafos
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Fiorentina 0-2 Inter Milan

With just one loss in 18 games this season - against city rivals Milan in September - Inter are clearly capable of halting Fiorentina's momentum. The Viola will see their unlikely title hopes dented, as the vastly experienced Nerazzurri can be clinical when it really matters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 48.18%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawInter Milan
26.67% (-2.245 -2.25) 25.15% (-0.154 -0.15) 48.18% (2.399 2.4)
Both teams to score 52.87% (-1.15 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.93% (-0.73999999999999 -0.74)50.06% (0.741 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.96% (-0.663 -0.66)72.04% (0.664 0.66)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.76% (-2.101 -2.1)33.24% (2.101 2.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.14% (-2.384 -2.38)69.85% (2.385 2.38)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (0.749 0.75)20.8% (-0.747 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.53% (1.162 1.16)53.46% (-1.159 -1.16)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 26.67%
    Inter Milan 48.17%
    Draw 25.14%
FiorentinaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 7.62% (-0.212 -0.21)
2-1 @ 6.59% (-0.425 -0.43)
2-0 @ 4.19% (-0.373 -0.37)
3-1 @ 2.42% (-0.309 -0.31)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.236 -0.24)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 26.67%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.92% (0.205 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.209 -0.21)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 10.85% (0.56 0.56)
1-2 @ 9.39% (0.167 0.17)
0-2 @ 8.52% (0.621 0.62)
1-3 @ 4.91% (0.195 0.2)
0-3 @ 4.46% (0.417 0.42)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.93% (0.119 0.12)
0-4 @ 1.75% (0.199 0.2)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 48.17%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Inter Milan

Fiorentina
22.0%
Draw
17.0%
Inter Milan
61.0%
141
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Fiorentina
0-1
Inter Milan

Ikone (45+2'), Mandragora (90+1')
Martinez (14')
Bastoni (42'), Sommer (75'), Pavard (82')
Sep 3, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Inter Milan
4-0
Fiorentina
Thuram (23'), Martinez (53', 73'), Calhanoglu (58' pen.)
Barella (45+6')

Ranieri (39'), Italiano (60+60')
May 24, 2023 8pm
Final
Fiorentina
1-2
Inter Milan
Gonzalez (3')
Martinez (54'), Gonzalez (90')
Martinez (29', 37')
Bastoni (53')
Apr 1, 2023 5pm
Oct 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Fiorentina
3-4
Inter Milan
Cabral (33' pen.), Ikone (60'), Jovic (90')
Barella (2'), Martinez (15', 73'), Mkhitaryan (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio27155749351450
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese27116103437-339
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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