Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina1 - 0Lecce
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lecce 0-2 Torino
Sunday, March 12 at 11.30am in Serie A
Sunday, March 12 at 11.30am in Serie A
We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Lecce
Recent trends suggest there should be only one winner on Sunday, as Fiorentina are flying high and Lecce are at a low. While it may not be quite so straightforward given the Viola's European exertions, their forwards are full of confidence now - a total contrast with those of the visitors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 67.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 13.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Lecce |
67.19% ( 0.68) | 19.55% ( -0.34) | 13.25% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 48.3% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
