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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Fiorentina logo

Inter Milan
2 - 1
Fiorentina

Pongracic (28' og.), Arnautovic (52')
Inzaghi (31'), Mkhitaryan (36'), Calhanoglu (45+2'), Zalewski (70'), Barella (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mandragora (44' pen.)
Palladino (31'), Richardson (39'), Parisi (45+2'), Kean (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 3-0 Inter Milan
Thursday, February 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-0 Inter Milan
Thursday, February 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 Fiorentina

Since the start of last season, Inter have lost only two of 30 home games played in Serie A, winning on 21 occasions. With the extra incentive of punishing Fiorentina for having the temerity to beat them - plus keeping title rivals Napoli within one point - the Nerazzurri should secure another success on Milanese soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Milan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
Inter MilanDrawFiorentina
55.01% (-0.764 -0.76) 23.65% (0.285 0.29) 21.34% (0.474 0.47)
Both teams to score 51.69% (-0.212 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.23% (-0.62 -0.62)48.76% (0.616 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.13% (-0.565 -0.57)70.87% (0.56099999999999 0.56)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.4% (-0.503 -0.5)17.59% (0.5 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.83% (-0.88 -0.88)48.17% (0.876 0.88)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.72% (0.122 0.12)37.27% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.94% (0.123 0.12)74.05% (-0.128 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 55%
    Fiorentina 21.34%
    Draw 23.64%
Inter MilanDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 11.39% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.9% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 55%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.56% (0.164 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.64%
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.184 0.18)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.088 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.19% (0.102 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 21.34%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Fiorentina

Inter Milan
78.5%
Draw
12.0%
Fiorentina
9.4%
191
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Fiorentina
3-0
Inter Milan
Ranieri (59'), Kean (68', 89')
Kean (68')
Jan 28, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Fiorentina
0-1
Inter Milan

Ikone (45+2'), Mandragora (90+1')
Martinez (14')
Bastoni (42'), Sommer (75'), Pavard (82')
Sep 3, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Inter Milan
4-0
Fiorentina
Thuram (23'), Martinez (53', 73'), Calhanoglu (58' pen.)
Barella (45+6')

Ranieri (39'), Italiano (60+60')
May 24, 2023 8pm
Final
Fiorentina
1-2
Inter Milan
Gonzalez (3')
Martinez (54'), Gonzalez (90')
Martinez (29', 37')
Bastoni (53')
Apr 1, 2023 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio27155749351450
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese27116103437-339
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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