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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Jan 7, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Sassuolo logo

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Sassuolo

Saponara (48'), Gonzalez (90+1' pen.)
Milenkovic (10'), Dodo (56'), Castrovilli (75'), Gonzalez (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Berardi (57' pen.)
Traore (19'), Ruan (26'), Berardi (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Monza
Wednesday, January 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Sampdoria
Wednesday, January 4 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-0 Sassuolo

Either side has had their struggles in the final third this season, after both previously earned a reputation for attack-minded football and guaranteed goals. It could therefore be a tight contest at the Franchi, where the home side are set to come out on top thanks to their greater depth of individual talent and potential game-changers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 16.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 1-0 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSassuolo
65.1% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 18.62% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 16.27% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 59.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.18% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)33.82% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.34% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)55.66% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.22% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)9.78% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.49% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)32.51% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.14% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)33.86% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)70.53% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 65.1%
    Sassuolo 16.27%
    Draw 18.62%
FiorentinaDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.95%
1-0 @ 7.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-1 @ 4.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 4.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 4.03% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-1 @ 2.03% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 65.1%
1-1 @ 8.34% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 18.62%
1-2 @ 4.51% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 3.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.89%
1-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 16.27%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Sassuolo

Fiorentina
65.5%
Draw
25.5%
Sassuolo
9.1%
55
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 7.50pm
Sassuolo
2-1
Fiorentina
Traore (19'), Defrel (90+4')
Lopez (70')
Cabral (88')
Italiano (68'), Bonaventura (79')
Bonaventura (79')
Dec 19, 2021 11.30am
Fiorentina
2-2
Sassuolo
Vlahovic (51'), Torreira (61')
Biraghi (44'), Martinez (58'), Italiano (58')
Biraghi (68')
Scamacca (32'), Frattesi (37')
Toljan (27'), Chiriches (54'), Traore (56'), Scamacca (59'), Frattesi (71')
Apr 17, 2021 5pm
Sassuolo
3-1
Fiorentina
Berardi (59' pen., 62' pen.), Lopez (75')
Traore (13'), Lopez (45+1'), Muldur (70')
Bonaventura (31')
Castrovilli (15'), Milenkovic (28'), Biraghi (68'), Eysseric (81'), Pulgar (90+1')
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-1
Sassuolo
Vlahovic (35' pen.)
Amrabat (7'), Castrovilli (42'), Biraghi (45+1'), Milenkovic (90+2')
Junior Traore (13')
Locatelli (18'), Berardi (19'), Junior Traore (29'), Toljan (62')
Jul 1, 2020 8.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Juventus633090912
2AC Milan6321147711
3Torino6321108211
4Inter Milan6321137611
5Udinese6312910-110
6Napoli531194510
7Empoli624052310
8Lazio63121210210
9Roma62317439
10Como6222911-28
11Atalanta BCAtalanta62131112-17
12Bologna614179-27
13Fiorentina61417707
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona62041011-16
15Parma512289-15
16Lecce6123311-85
17Genoa6123410-65
18VeneziaVenezia6114410-64
19Monza503246-23
20CagliariCagliari502318-72


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