Fiorentina2 - 1Sassuolo
Milenkovic (10'), Dodo (56'), Castrovilli (75'), Gonzalez (90+4')
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, January 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A
We said: Fiorentina 1-0 Sassuolo
Either side has had their struggles in the final third this season, after both previously earned a reputation for attack-minded football and guaranteed goals. It could therefore be a tight contest at the Franchi, where the home side are set to come out on top thanks to their greater depth of individual talent and potential game-changers. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 16.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 1-0 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Sassuolo |
65.1% ( -0.02) | 18.62% ( 0.01) | 16.27% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 59.67% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.18% ( -0.02) | 33.82% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.34% ( -0.02) | 55.66% ( 0.02) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.22% ( -0.01) | 9.78% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.49% ( -0.02) | 32.51% ( 0.02) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.14% ( -0) | 33.86% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.47% ( -0) | 70.53% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.95% 1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.51% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.94% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.37% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.03% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.03% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.88% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 4.49% Total : 65.1% | 1-1 @ 8.34% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.31% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.26% Total : 18.62% | 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.59% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.94% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.89% 1-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.71% Total : 16.27% |
How you voted: Fiorentina vs Sassuolo
Castrovilli (15'), Milenkovic (28'), Biraghi (68'), Eysseric (81'), Pulgar (90+1')
