Serie A | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Spezia1 - 2Fiorentina
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Salernitana 1-0 Spezia
Saturday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Istanbul
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Spezia 2-2 Fiorentina
Both teams feature in the top three for goals conceded during the opening 15 minutes of Serie A matches, so a fast start could be on the cards. As either side has defensive frailties, a share of the spoils might be the likeliest result - particularly given Spezia's strength on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.58%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Fiorentina |
24.78% ( 0.2) | 23.64% ( 0) | 51.58% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 55.96% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
