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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Fiorentina logo

AC Milan
2 - 1
Fiorentina

Leao (2'), Milenkovic (90+2' og.)
Diaz (21')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Barak (28')
Barak (49'), Saponara (51'), Mandragora (63'), Jovic (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 0-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Salernitana
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-1 Fiorentina

 Milan and Fiorentina have drawn only one of their last 14 Serie A meetings at San Siro, but another could follow this weekend, with the injury-hit home side starting to falter. Fresh from several successes on the road, a more resolute Viola are no longer pushovers when away from Florence - and they pose an attacking threat of their own. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawFiorentina
44.75% (0.062999999999995 0.06) 25.78% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 29.46% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.84% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.98% (0.048000000000002 0.05)51.02% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.12% (0.041999999999998 0.04)72.88% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26% (0.046999999999997 0.05)22.74% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.59% (0.074999999999996 0.07)56.41% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.39% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)31.61% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.98% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)68.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 44.75%
    Fiorentina 29.46%
    Draw 25.78%
AC MilanDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 10.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 44.75%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.19% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.28% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 29.46%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Fiorentina

AC Milan
78.5%
Draw
11.1%
Fiorentina
10.4%
135
Head to Head
May 1, 2022 2pm
AC Milan
1-0
Fiorentina
Leao (82')
Bennacer (88')

Maleh (2'), Venuti (42'), Martinez (72')
Nov 20, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
4-3
AC Milan
Duncan (15'), Saponara (45+1'), Vlahovic (60', 85')
Castrovilli (90+5')
Ibrahimovic (62', 67'), Venuti (90+6' og.)
Hernandez (90+5')
Mar 21, 2021 5pm
Fiorentina
2-3
AC Milan
Pulgar (17'), Ribery (51')
Prandelli (65'), Kouame (89')
Ibrahimovic (9'), Diaz (57'), Calhanoglu (72')
Calhanoglu (41'), Dalot (47'), Meite (90+2')
Nov 29, 2020 2pm
AC Milan
2-0
Fiorentina
Romagnoli (17'), Kessie (28' pen.)
Rebic (45+2'), Kessie (71')

Pezzella (25'), Castrovilli (52'), Biraghi (86'), Amrabat (90+1')
Feb 22, 2020 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-1
AC Milan
Pulgar (85' pen.)
Caceres (76')
Henrique (62')
Rebic (56')
Bennacer (12'), Calhanoglu (25'), Hernandez (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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