Serie A | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan2 - 1Fiorentina
FT(HT: 1-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cremonese 0-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Salernitana
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: AC Milan 1-1 Fiorentina
Milan and Fiorentina have drawn only one of their last 14 Serie A meetings at San Siro, but another could follow this weekend, with the injury-hit home side starting to falter. Fresh from several successes on the road, a more resolute Viola are no longer pushovers when away from Florence - and they pose an attacking threat of their own. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
44.75% ( 0.06) | 25.78% ( -0.02) | 29.46% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.84% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.98% ( 0.05) | 51.02% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.12% ( 0.04) | 72.88% ( -0.05) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( 0.05) | 22.74% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.59% ( 0.07) | 56.41% ( -0.08) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.39% ( -0.01) | 31.61% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.98% ( -0.01) | 68.02% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
AC Milan 44.75%
Fiorentina 29.46%
Draw 25.78%
| AC Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 44.75% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.46% |
How you voted: AC Milan vs Fiorentina
AC Milan
78.5%Draw
11.1%Fiorentina
10.4%135
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 21, 2021 5pm
Nov 29, 2020 2pm
Feb 22, 2020 7.45pm
Form Guide
