Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Fiorentina |
19.3% ( -0.18) | 24.02% ( 0.09) | 56.68% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 47.58% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.32% ( -0.57) | 52.68% ( 0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.68% ( -0.49) | 74.32% ( 0.49) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.32% ( -0.54) | 41.67% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.85% ( -0.47) | 78.15% ( 0.47) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.57% ( -0.18) | 18.43% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.41% ( -0.3) | 49.59% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.99% Total : 19.3% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 10.98% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 6.19% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.19% Total : 56.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 17 | 31 | 44 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 30 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |