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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Salernitana

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Salernitana

Bonaventura (15'), Jovic (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dia (55')
Radovanovic (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Cremonese
Saturday, November 5 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Salernitana

Fiorentina are enjoying a good run of form in all competitions as the World Cup break draws closer, but they still have a lot of work to do in order to catch up with those clubs challenging for European places in Serie A. Salernitana have improved after a woeful start to the campaign and now face two away assignments before the league pauses until January, but a trip to face Italiano's men may be where the good results of late begin to dry up. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 70.81%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 11.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSalernitana
70.81% (0.768 0.77) 17.89% (-0.249 -0.25) 11.3% (-0.523 -0.52)
Both teams to score 47.78% (-0.902 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.73% (-0.271 -0.27)42.27% (0.265 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.32% (-0.273 -0.27)64.67% (0.268 0.27)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.31% (0.12 0.12)10.68% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.42% (0.27500000000001 0.28)34.57% (-0.282 -0.28)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.49% (-1.088 -1.09)46.5% (1.082 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.89% (-0.846 -0.85)82.11% (0.84 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 70.8%
    Salernitana 11.3%
    Draw 17.89%
FiorentinaDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 12.42% (0.28 0.28)
1-0 @ 11.1% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 9.26% (0.252 0.25)
3-1 @ 7.09% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.18% (0.167 0.17)
4-1 @ 3.97% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.092 -0.09)
5-0 @ 2.32% (0.086 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.77% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 70.8%
1-1 @ 8.51% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.97% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.142 -0.14)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 17.89%
0-1 @ 3.8% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-2 @ 3.26% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-2 @ 1.46% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 11.3%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Salernitana

Fiorentina
76.3%
Draw
14.5%
Salernitana
9.2%
76
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 11.30am
Dec 11, 2021 2pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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