Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Mar 3, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Benito Stirpe

Frosinone
1 - 1
Lecce

Cheddira (45+2')
Di Francesco (4'), Jesus (44')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cerofolini (61' og.)
Almqvist (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Frosinone

All competitions

Last Game: Juventus 3-2 Frosinone
Sunday, February 25 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 0-4 Inter Milan
Sunday, February 25 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Frosinone have lost four of their last five on home turf, but Lecce are winless on their travels this season, losing eight of 13 road matches, thus making Sunday's game tricky to predict. However, the home side's six wins from 13 games at Stadio Benito Stirpe mean they have a higher chance than Lecce of claiming maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Frosinone	Draw	Lecce
43.57% ( 0.03)	25.92% ( -0.29)	30.52% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 52.96% (

1.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.88% (

1.27)

51.12% (

-1.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.03% (

1.11)

72.97% (

-1.11)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.65% (

0.57)

23.34% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.69% (

0.83)

57.3% (

-0.83)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.09% (

0.83)

30.91% (

-0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.79% (

0.96)

67.2% (

-0.97)

Score Analysis

Frosinone 43.56%

Lecce 30.52%

Draw 25.91%

Frosinone	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.01% Total : 43.56%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 3% Total : 30.52%