Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 73.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 9.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.71%) and 3-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Frosinone |
73.65% ( 0.31) | 16.53% ( -0.13) | 9.81% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 47.06% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.7% ( 0.07) | 40.29% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.33% ( 0.08) | 62.67% ( -0.08) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.53% ( 0.09) | 9.46% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.23% ( 0.22) | 31.76% ( -0.22) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.98% ( -0.31) | 48.01% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.75% ( -0.23) | 83.24% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Frosinone |
2-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.28% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.58% Total : 73.64% | 1-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.73% Total : 16.53% | 0-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.38% Total : 9.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
15 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
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