Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Frosinone | Draw | Roma |
25.97% (![]() | 25.73% (![]() | 48.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.5% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.12% (![]() | 52.88% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.51% (![]() | 74.49% (![]() |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.67% (![]() | 35.33% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.91% (![]() | 72.09% (![]() |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.09% (![]() | 21.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.83% (![]() | 55.16% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Frosinone | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 8.05% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.36% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.19% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.45% ( ![]() Other @ 2.03% Total : 25.97% | 1-1 @ 12.22% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.74% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.83% ( ![]() Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 11.75% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.28% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.92% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.7% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.52% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.26% Total : 48.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |