Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.87%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Inter Milan |
19.1% ( -0.51) | 23.51% ( -0.26) | 57.39% ( 0.76) |
Both teams to score 48.72% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.02% ( 0.34) | 50.98% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.15% ( 0.3) | 72.85% ( -0.3) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.08% ( -0.37) | 40.92% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.52% ( -0.33) | 77.48% ( 0.33) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.46% ( 0.4) | 17.54% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.93% ( 0.7) | 48.07% ( -0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 19.1% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.51% | 0-1 @ 12.49% 0-2 @ 10.87% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.31% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 5.64% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 2.75% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.45% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.59% Total : 57.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |