Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 72.03%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 11.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-2 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Genoa |
72.03% | 16.61% | 11.35% |
Both teams to score 52.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.03% | 35.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.93% | 58.06% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.25% | 8.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.94% | 30.05% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.77% | 42.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.37% | 78.63% |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Genoa |
2-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.45% 1-0 @ 9% 3-0 @ 8.91% 3-1 @ 7.68% 4-0 @ 5.43% 4-1 @ 4.68% 3-2 @ 3.31% 5-0 @ 2.65% 5-1 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 2.02% 6-0 @ 1.07% 5-2 @ 0.98% 6-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.69% Total : 72.03% | 1-1 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 4.08% 0-0 @ 3.69% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.61% | 1-2 @ 3.34% 0-1 @ 3.18% 0-2 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 1.17% 1-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.32% Total : 11.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 37 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 31 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |