Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 66.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 13.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Genoa |
66.78% | 19.26% | 13.96% |
Both teams to score 51.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.1% | 41.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.7% | 64.3% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.36% | 11.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.33% | 36.67% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.02% | 41.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.58% | 78.42% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Genoa |
2-0 @ 11.3% 1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 7.03% 4-0 @ 4.36% 4-1 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 3.05% 5-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.64% 5-1 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.69% Total : 66.77% | 1-1 @ 9.12% 0-0 @ 4.88% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.99% Total : 19.26% | 0-1 @ 4.24% 1-2 @ 3.96% 0-2 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.23% 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.54% Total : 13.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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