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Serie A
Roma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Napoli logo

Roma
0 - 1
Napoli


Smalling (22'), Cristante (51'), Mourinho (58'), Ibanez (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Osimhen (80')
Lozano (45+3'), Ndombele (47'), Spalletti (74'), Olivera (78'), Lobotka (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-1 Roma
Monday, October 17 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 3-2 Bologna
Sunday, October 16 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-2 Napoli

 The last two matches in this southern derby have finished level, and that streak would reach three for the first time in 27 years if two contrasting sides cannot be separated at the Olimpico. However, Napoli's slicker passing and more clinical touch in the box could prove the factors which tip the balance in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Roma had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
RomaDrawNapoli
31.09% (0.188 0.19) 26.13% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 42.77% (-0.102 -0.1)
Both teams to score 52.53% (0.341 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.21% (0.40300000000001 0.4)51.79% (-0.399 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44% (0.349 0.35)73.55% (-0.346 -0.35)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15% (0.33500000000001 0.34)30.85% (-0.332 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.87% (0.39 0.39)67.13% (-0.38600000000001 -0.39)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (0.128 0.13)24.03% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (0.182 0.18)58.29% (-0.176 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Roma 31.09%
    Napoli 42.77%
    Draw 26.13%
RomaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.31% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.13% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.87% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.01% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 31.09%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 10.57% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.54% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.21% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 42.77%

How you voted: Roma vs Napoli

Roma
17.6%
Draw
13.7%
Napoli
68.7%
278
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 6pm
Napoli
1-1
Roma
Insigne (11' pen.)
Koulibaly (37'), Zanoli (52'), Lozano (63'), Insigne (64')
El Shaarawy (90+1')
Cristante (17'), Zaniolo (71')
Fuzato (79')
Oct 24, 2021 5pm
Roma
0-0
Napoli

Mourinho (19'), Abraham (30'), Mourinho (82'), Karsdorp (90+4'), Veretout (90+4'), Mancini (90+5')

Mertens (90+5')
Spalletti (90+6')
Mar 21, 2021 7.45pm
Roma
0-2
Napoli

Ibanez (26'), Mancini (45+1'), Diawara (59'), El Shaarawy (64'), Villar (85')
Mertens (27', 34')
Zielinski (47'), Koulibaly (78'), Osimhen (90+1')
Nov 29, 2020 7.45pm
Napoli
4-0
Roma
Insigne (31'), Fabian (64'), Mertens (81'), Politano (86')
Di Lorenzo (32')

Ibanez (29'), Cristante (77')
Jul 5, 2020 8.45pm
Napoli
2-1
Roma
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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