Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 32

Apr 22, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 1
Atalanta

Cristante (75')
Calafiori (31'), Villar (47'), Ibanez (90+3')
Ibanez (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Malinovskyi (26')
Gosens (52')
Gosens (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Roma and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 51.58%. A win for Roma had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Roma	Draw	Atalanta BC
25.86%	22.56%	51.58%

Both teams to score 60.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.79%

39.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.46%

61.54%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.88%

28.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.2%

63.8%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.65%

15.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.88%

44.12%

Score Analysis

Roma 25.86%

Atalanta BC 51.58%

Draw 22.55%

Roma	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 6.51% 1-0 @ 5.48% 2-0 @ 3.47% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.58% 3-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.6% Total : 25.86%	1-1 @ 10.26% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 4.32% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.55%	1-2 @ 9.62% 0-1 @ 8.09% 0-2 @ 7.58% 1-3 @ 6.01% 0-3 @ 4.74% 2-3 @ 3.81% 1-4 @ 2.81% 0-4 @ 2.22% 2-4 @ 1.79% 1-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.87% Total : 51.58%