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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Spezia Calcio logo

Atalanta
3 - 1
Spezia

Pasalic (54', 73'), Muriel (55')
Toloi (8'), de Roon (25')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Piccoli (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 3-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawSpezia
71.78%16.1%12.11%
Both teams to score 57.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.88%31.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.47%52.53%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.39%7.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.79%27.21%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.36%37.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.58%74.41%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 71.78%
    Spezia 12.11%
    Draw 16.1%
Atalanta BCDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 9.5%
2-1 @ 9.29%
3-0 @ 8.16%
3-1 @ 7.98%
1-0 @ 7.38%
4-0 @ 5.26%
4-1 @ 5.14%
3-2 @ 3.9%
5-0 @ 2.71%
5-1 @ 2.65%
4-2 @ 2.51%
5-2 @ 1.29%
6-0 @ 1.16%
6-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 71.78%
1-1 @ 7.21%
2-2 @ 4.54%
0-0 @ 2.86%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 16.1%
1-2 @ 3.52%
0-1 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 1.48%
0-2 @ 1.37%
1-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 12.11%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Spezia

Atalanta BC
88.0%
Draw
5.3%
Spezia
6.7%
75
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 8
Spezia
0-0
Atalanta
Ricci (3'), Estevez (28'), Terzi (65')
Gosens (38'), Pasalic (52'), Pessina (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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