Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Roma had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.7%) and 2-0 (5.03%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Roma |
40.76% | 22.5% | 36.74% |
Both teams to score 67.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.65% | 33.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.87% | 55.13% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.88% | 17.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.66% | 47.34% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.13% | 18.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.67% | 50.33% |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 8.39% 1-0 @ 5.7% 2-0 @ 5.03% 3-1 @ 4.94% 3-2 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-2 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.32% Total : 40.76% | 1-1 @ 9.51% 2-2 @ 7% 0-0 @ 3.23% 3-3 @ 2.29% Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.5% | 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-1 @ 5.39% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 4.41% 2-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.84% 2-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.04% 3-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.68% Total : 36.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |