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Serie A | Gameweek 35
Jul 22, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Roma logo

SPAL
1 - 6
Roma

Cerri (24')
Espeto (77')
Cionek (87')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kalinic (10'), Perez (38'), Kolarov (47'), Peres (52', 75'), Zaniolo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between SPAL and Roma, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 17.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a SPAL win it was 2-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
SPALDrawRoma
17.22%20.41%62.37%
Both teams to score 55.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.41%40.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.02%62.97%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.07%36.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.28%73.72%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.53%12.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.57%38.42%
Score Analysis
    SPAL 17.22%
    Roma 62.37%
    Draw 20.41%
SPALDrawRoma
2-1 @ 4.76%
1-0 @ 4.59%
2-0 @ 2.28%
3-2 @ 1.64%
3-1 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 17.22%
1-1 @ 9.55%
2-2 @ 4.95%
0-0 @ 4.6%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.41%
0-2 @ 9.98%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-1 @ 9.59%
0-3 @ 6.93%
1-3 @ 6.9%
0-4 @ 3.61%
1-4 @ 3.59%
2-3 @ 3.44%
2-4 @ 1.79%
0-5 @ 1.5%
1-5 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 62.37%

Head to Head
Dec 15, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 16
Roma
3-1
SPAL
Tomovic (53' og.), Perotti (66' pen.), Mkhitaryan (83')
Cetin (54')
Petagna (44' pen.)
Felipe (50'), Vicari (66'), Jankovic (92')
Mar 16, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 28
SPAL
2-1
Roma
Fares (22'), Petagna (60' pen.)
Vicari (5'), Cionek (52'), Fares (54'), Missiroli (64')
Perotti (53' pen.)
N'Zonzi (40'), Dzeko (45'), Jesus (57'), Perotti (63'), Cristante (69')
Oct 20, 2018 2pm
Gameweek 9
Roma
0-2
SPAL

Pellegrini (37'), Under (62'), Fazio (82')
Petagna (38' pen.), Bonifazi (56')
Missiroli (30'), Paloschi (64'), Luiz (69'), Milinkovic Savic (75')
Milinkovic Savic (75')
Apr 21, 2018 2pm
SPAL
0-3
Roma

Vicari (5'), Luiz (12'), Schiattarella (40'), Grassi (90')
Vicari (33' og.), Nainggolan (52'), Schick (60')
Strootman (9')
Dec 1, 2017 5.30pm
Roma
3-1
SPAL
Dzeko (19'), Strootman (32'), Pellegrini (53')
Gonalons (22')
Viviani (55')
Grassi (65'), Schiavon (83')
Felipe (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1911263327635
5Juventus18711030151532
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese197482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino195681924-521
12Empoli194871822-420
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Parma194782534-919
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
16Como184682030-1018
17CagliariCagliari1945101832-1417
18Lecce1945101131-2017
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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