Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
