Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 5, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Spezia2 - 2Sassuolo
We said: Spezia 1-2 Sassuolo
Confidence will be coursing through the veins of Sassuolo's squad following two commendable results in the space of a week, so their impressive front three should anticipate their trip to the Picco with great relish. Spezia's defensive woes do not seem set to end any time soon, given Thiago Motta's approach so far, and that will cost them again on Sunday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 31.93% | 23.19% | 44.88% |
| Both teams to score 63.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
