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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
San Siro
Spezia Calcio logo

Inter Milan
2 - 0
Spezia

Gagliardini (36'), Martinez (58' pen.)
Martinez (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Manaj (31'), Kiwior (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Inter Milan 3-0 Spezia

There should be no expectations other than a comfortable home win at San Siro, due to the combination of Inter's fine form and Spezia's calamitous approach to defending. Even if Simone Inzaghi opts to rotate his resources, the quality at his disposal far outweighs his imperiled counterpart, whose reign as boss of the visitors could be coming to an end if their fortunes do not improve soon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 82.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 6.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 3-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSpezia
82.57%11.2%6.23%
Both teams to score 51.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.56%26.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.21%46.8%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.32%4.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.97%19.03%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.6%46.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.97%82.03%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 82.57%
    Spezia 6.23%
    Draw 11.2%
Inter MilanDrawSpezia
3-0 @ 10.4%
2-0 @ 10.19%
3-1 @ 7.99%
4-0 @ 7.96%
2-1 @ 7.83%
1-0 @ 6.66%
4-1 @ 6.12%
5-0 @ 4.88%
5-1 @ 3.75%
3-2 @ 3.07%
6-0 @ 2.49%
4-2 @ 2.35%
6-1 @ 1.91%
5-2 @ 1.44%
7-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 82.57%
1-1 @ 5.11%
2-2 @ 3.01%
0-0 @ 2.17%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 11.2%
1-2 @ 1.96%
0-1 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 6.23%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Spezia

Inter Milan
87.6%
Draw
7.6%
Spezia
4.8%
105
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Spezia
1-1
Inter Milan
Farias (12')
Marchizza (62'), Estevez (89')
Perisic (39')
Dec 20, 2020 2pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Juventus633090912
2AC Milan6321147711
3Torino6321108211
4Inter Milan6321137611
5Udinese6312910-110
6Napoli531194510
7Lazio63121210210
8Empoli52305239
9Roma62317439
10Como6222911-28
11Atalanta BCAtalanta62131112-17
12Bologna614179-27
13Fiorentina51317706
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona62041011-16
15Parma512289-15
16Lecce6123311-85
17Genoa6123410-65
18VeneziaVenezia6114410-64
19Monza503246-23
20CagliariCagliari502318-72


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