Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Genoa |
40.77% | 26.03% | 33.19% |
Both teams to score 53.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.25% | 50.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.35% | 72.65% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.42% | 24.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.93% | 59.06% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.07% | 28.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.18% | 64.81% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.68% Total : 40.77% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.82% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |