Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.18%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Sassuolo |
61.18% | 20.48% | 18.34% |
Both teams to score 57.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61% | 39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.68% | 61.32% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.69% | 12.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.9% | 38.1% |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.27% | 34.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.54% | 71.46% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.38% 1-0 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 6.93% 3-0 @ 6.55% 3-2 @ 3.66% 4-1 @ 3.63% 4-0 @ 3.43% 4-2 @ 1.92% 5-1 @ 1.52% 5-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.86% Total : 61.18% | 1-1 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 5.25% 0-0 @ 4.28% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.48% | 1-2 @ 5.01% 0-1 @ 4.52% 0-2 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.85% 1-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.8% Total : 18.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 37 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 31 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |