Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 6

Nov 1, 2020 at 2pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Torino
3 - 4
Lazio

Bremer (19'), Belotti (24' pen.), Lukic (87')
N'Koulou (90+5'), Rincon (90+7')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Pereira (15'), Milinkovic-Savic (49'), Immobile (90+5' pen.), Caicedo (90+8')
Pereira (44'), Hoedt (86'), Immobile (88'), Caicedo (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sport Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Lazio, including pedictions, team news and possible starting lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Torino had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Torino	Draw	Lazio
27.31%	24.2%	48.48%

Both teams to score 56.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.42%

45.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.1%

67.9%

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.62%

30.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.42%

66.58%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.11%

18.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.63%

50.37%

Score Analysis

Torino 27.31%

Lazio 48.48%

Draw 24.2%

Torino	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 6.84% 2-1 @ 6.79% 2-0 @ 4.07% 3-1 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.25% 3-0 @ 1.62% Other @ 3.06% Total : 27.31%	1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 5.74% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.2%	0-1 @ 9.56% 1-2 @ 9.5% 0-2 @ 7.97% 1-3 @ 5.28% 0-3 @ 4.43% 2-3 @ 3.14% 1-4 @ 2.2% 0-4 @ 1.85% 2-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.26% Total : 48.48%