Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Torino had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.