Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.88%) and 2-3 (5.02%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
