Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Oct 24, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
2 - 1
Bologna

Alberto (54'), Immobile (76')
Acerbi (30'), Hoedt (60'), Akpa-Akpro (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

De Silvestri (90+1')
Tomiyasu (58'), Svanberg (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday evening's Serie A clash between Lazio and Bologna, including prediction, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 52.9%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lazio in this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Bologna
52.9%	22.61%	24.49%

Both teams to score 59.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.23%

40.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.84%

63.16%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.54%

15.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.68%

44.32%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.97%

30.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.85%

66.15%

Score Analysis

Lazio 52.9%

Bologna 24.49%

Draw 22.6%

Lazio	Draw	Bologna
2-1 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 8.09% 3-1 @ 6.06% 3-0 @ 5.03% 3-2 @ 3.64% 4-1 @ 2.83% 4-0 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.7% 5-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.74% Total : 52.9%	1-1 @ 10.42% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 4.64% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.6%	1-2 @ 6.27% 0-1 @ 5.59% 0-2 @ 3.36% 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.06% Total : 24.49%