Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Dacia Arena
Udinese1 - 0Como
We said: Udinese 1-0 Como
Having made a good start to life under new management, Udinese are favourites to prevail in their first league meeting with Como for over two decades. Confident from toppling Lazio with 10 men, the Fruilani should hold promoted opponents at bay and add another three points to their tally. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Como had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Udinese in this match.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Como |
44.82% ( 0.82) | 26.51% ( -0.15) | 28.67% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 50.14% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
