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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Dacia Arena

Udinese
1 - 0
Como

Brenner (43')
Bijol (68'), Zemura (90+1'), Zemura (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fabregas i Soler (69'), Fabregas i Soler (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 2-1 Lazio
Saturday, August 24 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Como
Monday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 1-0 Como

Having made a good start to life under new management, Udinese are favourites to prevail in their first league meeting with Como for over two decades. Confident from toppling Lazio with 10 men, the Fruilani should hold promoted opponents at bay and add another three points to their tally. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Como had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Udinese in this match.

Result
UdineseDrawComo
44.82% (0.825 0.82) 26.51% (-0.151 -0.15) 28.67% (-0.674 -0.67)
Both teams to score 50.14% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.7% (0.26600000000001 0.27)54.3% (-0.265 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.31% (0.222 0.22)75.69% (-0.22200000000001 -0.22)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88% (0.521 0.52)24.12% (-0.52 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.57% (0.738 0.74)58.43% (-0.736 -0.74)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08% (-0.373 -0.37)33.92% (0.372 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.4% (-0.405 -0.41)70.6% (0.40600000000001 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 44.82%
    Como 28.67%
    Draw 26.51%
UdineseDrawComo
1-0 @ 11.63% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.087000000000002 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.164 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.105 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.92% (0.135 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 44.82%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.18% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 8.85% (-0.183 -0.18)
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.78% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 28.67%

How you voted: Udinese vs Como

Udinese
Draw
Como
Udinese
78.0%
Draw
15.9%
Como
6.1%
82
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1911263327635
5Juventus18711030151532
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese197482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino195681924-521
12Empoli194871822-420
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Parma194782534-919
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
16Como184682030-1018
17CagliariCagliari1945101832-1417
18Lecce1945101131-2017
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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