Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Udinese | Draw | Napoli |
21.15% ( -0.16) | 23.24% ( 0.34) | 55.61% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 52.69% ( -1.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.71% ( -1.64) | 47.3% ( 1.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.48% ( -1.54) | 69.52% ( 1.55) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.37% ( -1.08) | 36.63% ( 1.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.58% ( -1.1) | 73.42% ( 1.11) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.16% ( -0.64) | 16.85% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.15% ( -1.16) | 46.85% ( 1.17) |
Score Analysis |
Udinese | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.75% Total : 21.15% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.24% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 9.83% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 5.84% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 5.81% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.1) 1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.09% Total : 55.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |