Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and FeralpiSalo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ascoli | Draw | FeralpiSalo |
55.11% ( 0.35) | 24.9% ( -0.2) | 19.99% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 46.15% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.86% ( 0.54) | 55.14% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.61% ( 0.45) | 76.39% ( -0.45) |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.03% ( 0.35) | 19.97% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.85% ( 0.57) | 52.14% ( -0.57) |
| FeralpiSalo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.66% ( 0.14) | 42.33% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.28% ( 0.13) | 78.72% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
Ascoli 55.09%
FeralpiSalo 19.99%
Draw 24.89%
| Ascoli | Draw | FeralpiSalo |
| 1-0 @ 13.61% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.55% Total : 55.09% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.68% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.97% Total : 19.99% |
How you voted: Ascoli vs FeralpiSalo
Ascoli
70.0%Draw
20.0%FeralpiSalo
10.0%10
