Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.
0.35) 
-0.2) 
