Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 47.28%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 25.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Modena in this match.
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