Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 47.28%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 25.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Modena in this match.

Result
Modena	Draw	Ascoli
47.28% ( -0)	26.95% ( 0)	25.77% ( 0)

Both teams to score 46.85% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.45% (

-0.01)

57.55% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.67% (

-0.01)

78.34% (

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.63% (

-0.01)

24.37% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.22% (

-0.01)

58.78% (

0.01)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.95% (

-0)

38.06% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.18% (

-0)

74.83% (

Score Analysis

Modena 47.28%

Ascoli 25.77%

Draw 26.95%

Modena	Draw	Ascoli
1-0 @ 13.09% 2-0 @ 9.24% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-1 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.42% Total : 47.28%	1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 9.28% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.95%	0-1 @ 8.96% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.11% 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.62% Total : 25.77%