Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Bari had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Bari win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.