Serie B | Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola
Bari2 - 2Catanzaro
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Catanzaro.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Bari had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Bari win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bari | Draw | Catanzaro |
35.63% ( -0.03) | 27.34% ( -0.01) | 37.04% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.83% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.28% ( 0.05) | 55.73% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.13% ( 0.04) | 76.87% ( -0.04) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.16% ( 0) | 29.84% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.07% ( 0) | 65.93% ( -0) |
| Catanzaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.02% ( 0.05) | 28.98% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.13% ( 0.06) | 64.87% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Bari 35.62%
Catanzaro 37.04%
Draw 27.34%
| Bari | Draw | Catanzaro |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.4% Total : 35.62% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.04% |
