Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola
Bari0 - 3Parma
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Bari and Parma.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bari 0-1 Cagliari
Sunday, June 11 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Sunday, June 11 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Parma 0-0 Cagliari
Saturday, June 3 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Saturday, June 3 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bari | Draw | Parma |
41.78% ( 0.09) | 27.08% ( 0.09) | 31.14% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 49.62% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.46% ( -0.4) | 55.54% ( 0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.28% ( -0.33) | 76.71% ( 0.32) |
Bari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.77% ( -0.14) | 26.22% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.67% ( -0.18) | 61.32% ( 0.18) |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.26% ( -0.34) | 32.74% ( 0.33) |