Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola
Bari0 - 3Parma
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Bari and Parma.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bari 0-1 Cagliari
Sunday, June 11 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Sunday, June 11 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Parma 0-0 Cagliari
Saturday, June 3 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Saturday, June 3 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bari | Draw | Parma |
41.78% ( 0.09) | 27.08% ( 0.09) | 31.14% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 49.62% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.46% ( -0.4) | 55.54% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.28% ( -0.33) | 76.71% ( 0.32) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.77% ( -0.14) | 26.22% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.67% ( -0.18) | 61.32% ( 0.18) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% ( -0.34) | 32.74% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.7% ( -0.37) | 69.3% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
Bari 41.77%
Parma 31.14%
Draw 27.08%
| Bari | Draw | Parma |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.77% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.14% |
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 1pm
Oct 19, 2022 5pm
Dec 21, 2017 7.30pm
Bari
0-0
Parma
Scavone (33'), Scozzarella (84')
