MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 21:11:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
Serie B | 2nd Leg
Jun 2, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
San Nicola

Bari
1 - 0
Sudtirol

Benedetti (70')
Folorunsho (90')
Ricci (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mawuli (31'), Mazzocchi (57'), Siega (64'), Vinetot (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie B clash between Bari and Sudtirol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sudtirol 1-0 Bari
Monday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sudtirol 1-0 Bari
Monday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Serie B

We said: Bari 1-1 Sudtirol

Having avoided defeat in each of their last eight home games, Bari are not expected to lose on Friday, but they could struggle to claim the win that would take them to the playoff final. Holding a vital 1-0 lead, Sudtoril look set to make life difficult for the Cockerels, so we expect the visitors to snatch a draw and book their place in the showpiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 49.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bari in this match.

Result
BariDrawSudtirol
49.78% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 27.57%22.64% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 42.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.22% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)61.78% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)81.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)25.07% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25% (0.007000000000005 0.01)59.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.6% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)43.4% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.38% (-0.012 -0.01)79.62% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bari 49.78%
    Sudtirol 22.64%
    Draw 27.56%
BariDrawSudtirol
1-0 @ 15.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.69%
3-0 @ 4.8% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 49.78%
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 10.87%
2-2 @ 3.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1%
Total : 22.64%

How you voted: Bari vs Sudtirol

Bari
59.0%
Draw
25.6%
Sudtirol
15.4%
39
Head to Head
May 29, 2023 7.30pm
Apr 10, 2023 2pm
gameweek 32
Sudtirol
0-1
Bari
Morachioli (90+3')
Nov 12, 2022 1pm
gameweek 13
Bari
2-2
Sudtirol
Di Cesare (43'), Salcedo (65')
Tait (21'), Odogwu (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pisa6420127514
2SpeziaSpezia7340117413
3SassuoloSassuolo733187112
4Cremonese631285310
5Mantova631277010
6BariBari72329729
7Brescia63038629
8SudtirolSudtirol63039909
9Reggiana72327709
10Modena62229728
11Cesena62228718
12Palermo62225508
13Cittadella722356-18
14Juve StabiaJuve Stabia622257-28
15Salernitana6213910-17
16CatanzaroCatanzaro613256-16
17FrosinoneFrosinone7133613-76
18Cosenza CalcioCosenza72327705
19Sampdoria612368-25
20Carrarese7115612-64


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