Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.