Serie B | Gameweek 37
May 4, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio dei Marmi
Carrarese2 - 1Modena
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Carrarese and Modena.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sassuolo 2-0 Carrarese
Thursday, May 1 at 6.30pm in Serie B
Thursday, May 1 at 6.30pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
35
Last Game: Modena 2-3 Reggiana
Thursday, May 1 at 2pm in Serie B
Thursday, May 1 at 2pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
45
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Modena had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrarese would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carrarese | Draw | Modena |
39.47% ( 0.32) | 28.13% ( -0.25) | 32.4% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 46.97% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.93% ( 0.87) | 59.07% ( -0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.48% ( 0.67) | 79.53% ( -0.66) |
| Carrarese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( 0.62) | 29.17% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.89% ( 0.75) | 65.11% ( -0.75) |
| Modena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.32% ( 0.41) | 33.68% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.67% ( 0.44) | 70.33% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
Carrarese 39.46%
Modena 32.4%
Draw 28.13%
| Carrarese | Draw | Modena |
| 1-0 @ 12.1% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.62% Total : 39.46% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.32)2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.4% |
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 13
Modena
2-0
Carrarese
Cauz (42'), Palumbo (80')
Defrel (37'), Gagno (70')
Defrel (37'), Gagno (70')
Giovane (69'), Imperiale (78')
