Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 54.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Vicenza had a probability of 20.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Vicenza win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cittadella in this match.