Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brescia in this match.
