Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
