Serie B | Gameweek 5
Sep 10, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Modena1 - 3Brescia
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Brescia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cagliari 1-0 Modena
Friday, September 2 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Friday, September 2 at 7.30pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Ternana | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Modena | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | Sudtirol | 4 | -6 | 3 |
Last Game: Brescia 2-1 Perugia
Saturday, September 3 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, September 3 at 1pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Frosinone | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Brescia | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Ascoli | 4 | 2 | 8 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Modena had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Modena win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Modena | Draw | Brescia |
33.34% ( 0.04) | 26.48% ( 0.07) | 40.17% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.18% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.41% ( -0.27) | 52.59% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.76% ( -0.23) | 74.24% ( 0.23) |
| Modena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.26% ( -0.11) | 29.74% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.19% ( -0.13) | 65.81% ( 0.13) |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.27% ( -0.18) | 25.72% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.35% ( -0.24) | 60.65% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
Modena 33.34%
Brescia 40.17%
Draw 26.48%
| Modena | Draw | Brescia |
| 1-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 33.34% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 40.17% |
