Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 52.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Palermo had a probability of 23.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Palermo win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.