Serie B | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2022 at 1pm UK
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Ascoli1 - 2Modena
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Modena.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benevento 1-1 Ascoli
Sunday, October 2 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Sunday, October 2 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 1-0 Reggina
Saturday, October 1 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, October 1 at 1pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Modena had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ascoli | Draw | Modena |
42.19% ( -0.02) | 27.21% ( -0.01) | 30.59% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.03% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.81% ( 0.04) | 56.18% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.76% ( 0.03) | 77.24% ( -0.03) |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.7% ( 0.01) | 26.3% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.57% ( 0.01) | 61.42% ( -0.01) |
| Modena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.53% ( 0.04) | 33.46% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.9% ( 0.05) | 70.1% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Ascoli 42.19%
Modena 30.59%
Draw 27.2%
| Ascoli | Draw | Modena |
| 1-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 42.19% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 9.63% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 30.59% |
