Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 59.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Reggina had a probability of 17.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Reggina win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monza in this match.
