Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.